Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 62.5%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 9, 26, 3:45 PM UTCApr 16, 32, 2:29 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Personal info: I'm 23, engaged, and planning to get married in the next ~1.5 years.
- My fiancé and I want three kids.
- I have no serious corporate career ambitions and would happily be a stay-at-home mom.
- We have a comfortable dual income and we save a lot.
- We will probably raise our first child in Toronto or a similar urban area.
- I previously wanted to be a mom in my mid-twenties, but now that I've moved to a bigger city I'm enjoying my irresponsible life and would now put the odds I give birth before age thirty at 40-60%, which is a pretty big window.
