What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk spend a day in outer space??

Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will Elon Musk spend a day in outer space? resolve?

Will Elon Musk spend a day in outer space? is scheduled to resolve on March 29, 2061.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 54%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 22 hours ago

Stale

Mar 28, 24, 7:47 AM UTCMar 29, 61, 3:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.

If Elon Musk spends 24 hours consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
For purposes of this market, “Elon Musk” is only Elon Reeve Musk, former chairman of Tesla, born on June 28, 1971.
I will not bet in this market.
Related markets: @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-day-in-outer (this market) @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-week-in-oute @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-month-in-out @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-year-in-oute