Will Elon Musk be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
TechOne-OffSpaceBusiness & CorporateCrime & Justice3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 75.3%
No 75.3%Forecasters
49
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 42 minutes ago
Dec 2, 22, 5:03 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Elon Musk (CEO of Tesla and SpaceX) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Part of a large question series.
- Question is global -- charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
- Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
