Will China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?
CommoditiesOne-OffChina1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Apr 7, 26, 11:30 PM UTCMar 31, 28, 4:00 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if China rhenium imports exceeds 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027.
- What is being measured: China's total rhenium imports (all forms, Re content equivalent) for the calendar year ending December 2027, as reported by GACC or USGS.
- YES if: China total Re imports >= 20 thousand kg for the year NO if: China total Re imports < 20 thousand kg for the year Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (China General Administration of Customs) — HS 2841.90 + HS 8112.41 import data
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (world trade tables)
- Wood Mackenzie or CRU Group — China rhenium demand and trade estimates