Will China restrict exports of osmium on December 31, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will China restrict exports of osmium on December 31, 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 88.7% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Will China restrict exports of osmium on December 31, 2026? resolve?

Will China restrict exports of osmium on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will China restrict exports of osmium on December 31, 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary unwrought or powder osmium under the iridium, osmium, and ruthenium tariff family HS 711041 and 711049.

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POLYMARKET

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?

• ↓ $95+23.5pt85%
• ↓ $90+24.5pt61%
• ↑ $105-29.0pt59%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$495.7K

24h Vol

$185.4K

KALSHI

Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 2, 2026?

• Above $91.4998.5%
• Above $90.4999%
• Above $91.9999%

KALSHI

Diesel prices tomorrow

• Above $6.24099%
• Above $6.27092%
• Above $6.26598%

KALSHI

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

• Above 91,500 MW+1.0pt5.5%
• Above 92,000 MW4.5%
• Above 92,500 MW3.5%

POLYMARKET

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

• ↑ $4,50050%
• ↓ $3,500-4.5pt17%
• ↑ $5,000+1.6pt5%

+8 more outcomes

KALSHI

US gas prices tomorrow

• Above 4.140098.5%
• Above 4.145096.5%
• Above 4.150067.5%

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