Will CBMM trailing 12-month FeNb output exceed 175 kt as of September 2026?
CommoditiesOne-OffLatin America3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 26, 9:38 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CBMM trailing 12-month FeNb output exceed 155 kt as of September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM trailing 12-month FeNb output exceed 110 kt as of September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM trailing 12-month FeNb output exceed 135 kt as of September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM's October 2025–September 2026 FeNb output exceed 80 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill nuclear energy generate more than 67,000 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in the US during August 2026? (Power plants) (Reactors) (Grid output) (Clean power)?
ForecastExWill nuclear energy generate more than 68,000 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in the US during August 2026? (Power plants) (Reactors) (Grid output) (Clean power)?
ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if CBMM's trailing 12-month ferroniobium output exceeds 175 kt on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Total ferroniobium (FeNb) produced by CBMM at the Araxá complex, in kilotonnes, for the 12-month period ending 3 months before December 31, 2026.
- The 3-month lag allows CBMM's annual sustainability report and IBRAM data to be published.
- Measurement window:
- Settlement June 30: April (prior year) – March (current year) total
- Settlement December 31: October (prior year) – September (current year) total
