Will Cameco 2028 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 34.0M lbs U3O8?
CommoditiesOne-OffAI2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 56.1%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleFeb 19, 26, 9:54 PM UTCMar 31, 29, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market estimates Cameco's 2028 uranium production (attributable share).
- The market settles on March 31, 2029 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate Cameco's uranium production (attributable share) for 2028 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2028 through December 31, 2028
- YES if: 2028 uranium production (attributable share) ≥34.0M lbs U3O8
- NO if: 2028 uranium production (attributable share) <34.0M lbs U3O8
