Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $95.0/lb by Mar 2029?
CommoditiesCustomForeign ExchangeCentral Banks2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 26, 11:41 PM UTCMar 31, 29, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if Cameco's average realized uranium price over the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds $95.0 per pound U3O8 by 2029-03-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate average realized price during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2029-03-31 settlement: measure from 2028-10-02 to 2029-12-31
- Realized price = Total uranium revenue (USD) ÷ Total uranium sales volume (lbs)
- Convert revenue from CAD to USD using period-average exchange rate
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $95.0/lb by Mar 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $95.0/lb by Mar 2029? resolve?
- Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $95.0/lb by Mar 2029? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2029.
- How is Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $95.0/lb by Mar 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Cameco's average realized uranium price over the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds $95.0 per pound U3O8 by 2029-03-31.