Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57.6%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 20, 26, 4:26 PM UTCMar 31, 30, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Cameco 2028 realized uranium price exceed 95 USD/lb?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco 2027 realized uranium price exceed 90 USD/lb?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $105.0/lb by Mar 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $95.0/lb by Mar 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market estimates Cameco's 2029 realized uranium price.
- The market settles on March 31, 2030 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate Cameco's realized uranium price for 2029 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2029 through December 31, 2029
- YES if: 2029 realized uranium price ≥100 USD/lb
- NO if: 2029 realized uranium price <100 USD/lb
Open markets
Commodities
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- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $246.1K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-11.0pt40%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $89.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $88.49+5.0pt99%
- Above $87.99+4.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+26.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+16.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+3.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $96.5097%
- Above $9596%
- Above $95.5095%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $82.3K
- 24h Vol
- $82.3K
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- December 31+1.0pt11%
- September 30+0.3pt2%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Cameco 2029 realized uranium price exceed 100 USD/lb??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 58% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Cameco 2029 realized uranium price exceed 100 USD/lb? resolve?
- Will Cameco 2029 realized uranium price exceed 100 USD/lb? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2030.
- How is Will Cameco 2029 realized uranium price exceed 100 USD/lb? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market estimates Cameco's 2029 realized uranium price.