Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 9:46 PM UTCDec 31, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Bryan Johnson try DMT by EOY2028 (and tweet about it)?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson try brain photobiomodulation before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill JOSE LUIS RICON THE MAGNIFICENT try RTR242 by 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Bryan Johnson publicly confirms or provides verifiable evidence that he has personally ingested, taken, or participated in a clinical trial involving the experimental drug RTR242 at any time on or before December 31, 2033.
- The market will resolve to NO if, by that date, no such confirmation or evidence exists.
- Acceptable evidence includes, but is not limited to:
- Official statements or documentation from Bryan Johnson’s social media channels, website (bryanjohnson.com), or Project Blueprint publications.
- Credible third-party reporting or documentation of clinical trial participation involving Johnson and RTR242.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.7K
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $712.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 59% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033? resolve?
- Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2032.
- How is Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria