Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 99%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 22, 10:34 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1qShKedFJptpxfTHl9MBtHARAiurX-WK6ChrMgQRQz-0
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
- $78,750 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $83,700 or above99%
- $83,400 or above99%
- $83,500 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $667.3K
- 24h Vol
- $498.2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,500 or above+6.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- Boston+42.0pt99%
- New York City+64.0pt99%
- Providence+59.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $260.3K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+28.0pt95%
- 65-89-10.0pt5%
- <40-34.5pt0%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199+12.0pt47.5%
- 200-219+5.0pt41.6%
- 220-239-9.0pt6.9%
+23 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- ETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 21, 2026?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 21, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Bryan Caplan lose any of his public bets by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Bryan Caplan lose any of his public bets by 2030? resolve?
- Will Bryan Caplan lose any of his public bets by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will Bryan Caplan lose any of his public bets by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1qShKedFJptpxfTHl9MBtHARAiurX-WK6ChrMgQRQz-0