Current community forecast
No 84.2%
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32
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 14 hours ago
StaleNov 30, 23, 5:51 PM UTCJan 1, 41, 5:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Within any single country with a population of at least 10 million people.
- "Flying cars" are herein defined as vehicles which are legal to operate on the roads of the country, and which also can be operated as legal aircraft in that same country.
- The two operations modes are not required to be covered by the same license.
- No type certificate, production certificate, or equivalent is required (although they are expected and hoped for).
- Fleet operators renting vehicles out to the public would qualify if the sales quantity is met.
- An example of a "yes" resolution in the US would be a street-legal car which is also legal to fly under 14 CFR 23, 25, 27, 91, 103, or equivalent, and can be operated by anyone with a driver's license and appropriate flight certificate (or none, in the case of §103 and/or potential self-driving capability).
