What are the current odds for Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 69.1% as of October 24, 2026.

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Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

BitcoinOne-OffAdoption Latin America4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 69.1%

Forecasters

105

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Jan 25, 23, 8:24 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC

Outcome24hChance

Rules

[image](https://manifold.markets/embed/itsTomekK/what-country-will-be-next-to-make-b)---

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Update 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the conditions for a YES resolution:
Argentina accepts Bitcoin as payment for its obligations or taxes.
If Argentina removes its definition of legal tender, making everything or some asset class including Bitcoin a legal tender, this will also resolve to YES.

Open markets

Bitcoin

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 82,500-13.0pt62%
↓ 77,500+13.0pt45%
↑ 85,000-8.5pt27%

+36 more outcomes

Total Vol: $10.7M
24h Vol: $692.8K

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

$79,500 or above99.5%
$72,100 or above99.5%
$80,000 or above98.5%

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Stock Market+1.0pt95.5%

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↓ 80,00070%
↑ 82,000-37.0pt27%
↓ 78,000+5.8pt11%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,000-7.0pt47%
↓ 70,000+7.0pt42%
↑ 95,000-5.0pt28%

+43 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 24?

↓ 79,0005%
↑ 82,0004%
↑ 83,0001%

+13 more outcomes

Total Vol: $329.5K

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030??: Manifold Markets prices No at 69.1% as of October 24, 2026.
When does Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030? resolve?: Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
How is Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [image](https://manifold.markets/embed/itsTomekK/what-country-will-be-next-to-make-b)---

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Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Open markets

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

BTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 24?

Related Cryptos

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

BTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 24?