Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028?
CommoditiesOne-OffChessSports2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.1%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 9, 26, 8:26 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1500 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 60 kt?
Manifold MarketsCopper price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiCopper price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiCopper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if total annual copper cathode production from bio-leaching of primary sulfide ores exceeds 10,000 tonnes in calendar year 2028.
- Combined output from Nuton-enabled sites (JCM + any new deployments) plus any other commercial bio-leaching operations on primary sulfides totals >10 kt
- Production data published in operator annual reports, technical reports, or verified by independent commodity consultancies
- Total primary sulfide bio-leach production remains below 10 kt in CY2028
- Only pilot/test production (not commercial-scale) exceeds threshold
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028? resolve?
- Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria