Will Anglo American's Chilean copper production fall below 400,000 tonnes in 2026?
CommoditiesOne-Off3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55.7%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 9, 26, 6:02 PM UTCFeb 9, 27, 6:02 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if Anglo American reports full-year 2026 Chilean copper production below 400,000 tonnes in their official annual results, typically published in early 2027.
- Use the 'Copper Production' figure from Anglo American's annual report (angloamerican.com/investors).
- In 2025, Anglo's Chilean output was 385,000 tonnes, and the 2026 guidance is set between 390,000 and 420,000 tonnes.
- This threshold is uncertain due to operational challenges at the Collahuasi mine and the transition to higher-grade ore at Los Bronces, balanced against potential production improvements.
- The threshold sits near the lower end of guidance, making it a point of contention given the current production issues.
- Source: Article
