Will air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037?
CommoditiesOne-OffWeatherUS PoliticsRegulationPolitics10yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 87.4%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 18, 22, 12:35 AM UTCJun 17, 37, 7:00 PM UTC
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Air quality in Los Angeles is in the yellow range on the Air Quality Index (AQI) according to PurpleAir.com as of June 2022 (reference 1).
- From reference 1, it seems to have the lowest air quality in California.
- In 2020, Gavin Newsom "issued an executive order requiring sales of all new passenger vehicles to be zero-emission by 2035" (reference 2).
- This question will resolve to YES if the Los Angeles AQI reduces from yellow (AQI of 51-100) to green (AQI of 0-50) by June 17, 2037, at noon Pacific Time.
- The question is purely about the AQI, not whether Gavin Newsom's executive order caused the decrease since that is too hard to determine.
- References: 1. 1-week average for Los Angeles from PurpleAir.com based on the US EPA PM2.5 AQI standard where yellow is AQI of 51-100 (https://map.purpleair.com/1/mAQI/a10080/p604800/cC0?select=96243#9/33.9734/-118.1833) 2. https://www.gov.ca.gov/2020/09/23/governor-newsom-announces-california-will-phase-out-gasoline-powered-cars-drastically-reduce-demand-for-fossil-fuel-in-californias-fight-against-climate-change/
