Current community forecast
Magnus Carlsen 98.3%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
32
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Nov 3, 25, 3:37 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on FIDE's monthly published "Top 100 Players" list for classical chess.
- The resolution will use the first official FIDE rating list published in 2027.
- Each answer resolves YES if that player appears in the top 10 of the FIDE classical ratings at that time, and NO otherwise.
- Only active players (as per FIDE's definition) will be considered.
- Check the official FIDE ratings at https://ratings.fide.com
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the top 10 Chess players at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Magnus Carlsen at 98% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Who will be the top 10 Chess players at the end of 2026? resolve?
- Who will be the top 10 Chess players at the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Who will be the top 10 Chess players at the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria
