Current community forecast
Fabiano Caruana 70%Leader of 28 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 2, 26, 4:00 PM UTCMar 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 10 Rated in October 2026
KalshiFIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to the players that actually participate in the tournament at the start of the tournament, not those that qualify and then reject or give up their spot, or are later disqualified!
- (If the next FIDE candidates tournament is scheduled for late 2027 or 2029, or even a later year, this resolves to the qualifiers for the NEXT FIDE Candidates tournament, regardless of year)
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Chess
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which chess players will qualify and participate in the 2028 FIDE Candidates tournament??
- Manifold Markets prices Fabiano Caruana at 70% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Which chess players will qualify and participate in the 2028 FIDE Candidates tournament? resolve?
- Which chess players will qualify and participate in the 2028 FIDE Candidates tournament? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2028.
- How is Which chess players will qualify and participate in the 2028 FIDE Candidates tournament? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the players that actually participate in the tournament at the start of the tournament, not those that qualify and then reject or give up their spot, or are later disqualified!