Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Victor Marx (94.9%)
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, 10:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastVictor Marx 94.9%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleMar 17, 25, 4:15 PMJul 10, 26, 10:43 PM
Probability Timeline
Mark Baisley1.4%
Scott Bottoms0.1%
Jason Ray Clark0.7%
Jason Mikesell0.7%
Stevan Gess1.8%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg0.7%
Robin Jones0.7%
Barbara Kirkmeyer5%
Greg Lopez0.7%
Paul Lundeen0.7%
Victor Marx94.9%
Other1.6%
5%
94.9%
0%
0.1%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Victor Marx
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 95% | — | — | — | 16 days ago | |
 PredictIt92% match · verified | — | 99% | — | — | — | 14 days ago | Open → |
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