Who will be officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026?
TechOne-OffEntertainment2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Jack Lowden 43.9%Leader of 9 outcomes
Jack Lowden 43.9%Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+19.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 5, 26, 7:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Amazon MGM Studios has officially begun the casting process for Bond 26.
- Producer Amy Pascal has said that it is a “good bet” that the next James Bond will be cast by the end of 2026.
- Who will get the tuxedo, the Aston Martin and the licence to kill?
- RESOLUTION CRITERIA:
- This market resolves to the first actor officially announced by Amazon MGM Studios, the official James Bond channels, or the film’s authorised producers as the actor who will play James Bond in the next official James Bond feature film.
- Rumours, auditions, negotiations, reported offers, anonymous sources or comments made by the actors themselves will not count as an official announcement.