Current community forecast
Both/Neither/Unclear 69.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 9:07 PM UTCMay 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.
- Resolves Anthropic if Anthropic is first to do so.
- Resolves Both/Neither/Unclear if termination is mutual or simultaneous, the deal runs to its contractual end (reported as May 2029) or is renewed/replaced without cancellation, or the initiating party can't be determined.
- Renegotiation, downsizing, partial capacity reallocation, or transfer to a successor agreement does not count as cancellation, the agreement must actually end.
