Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBYD 83%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
28
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingMar 7, 24, 6:28 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
KalshiLargest Company end of September?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketCalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiRules
Main car sellers in terms of total number of vehicles sold in 2030.
- If you don't find your pick, add the name.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $354.3K
- 24h Vol
- $354.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+4.0pt50%
- 65-89+27.0pt47.1%
- 90-114-2.4pt2.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-219-1.0pt18.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.2pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which will be the 3 main car sellers in the world by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices BYD at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which will be the 3 main car sellers in the world by 2030? resolve?
- Which will be the 3 main car sellers in the world by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Which will be the 3 main car sellers in the world by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Main car sellers in terms of total number of vehicles sold in 2030.