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Which space application will first use 1 MWe?

Which space application will first use 1 MWe?

BitcoinOne-OffSpace Tech Mining3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYC

Current community forecast

Beamed power

Beamed power 3.3%

Leader of 5 outcomes

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multiple choice

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Updated 25 days ago

Stale

Sep 20, 24, 12:35 AMJan 2, 30, 6:59 AM

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Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Beamed power3%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Of the listed applications, which one will first hit 1 megawatt of electricity usage?

Beamed power: traditional solar power satellite concept.
Solar cells in orbit, on-orbit power conversion, and transmission to some other customer (on Earth, on the Moon, whatever).
Presumably microwave transmission, but could be optical or otherwise.
Reflected sunlight: what Reflect Orbital is trying to do.
Mirrors in space, solar cells on the ground.

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Rules

Of the listed applications, which one will first hit 1 megawatt of electricity usage?

Beamed power: traditional solar power satellite concept.
Solar cells in orbit, on-orbit power conversion, and transmission to some other customer (on Earth, on the Moon, whatever).
Presumably microwave transmission, but could be optical or otherwise.
Reflected sunlight: what Reflect Orbital is trying to do.
Mirrors in space, solar cells on the ground.