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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which party will get second in the Makerfield by-election?
Manifold Markets

Which party will get second in the Makerfield by-election?

One-OffPoliticsElectionEurope1d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Conservative Party 0.1%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters

27

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale
May 21, 26, 7:58 AMJun 20, 26, 7:58 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Conservative Party
0.1%
Manifold Markets
Liberal Democrats
0.1%
Manifold Markets
Green Party
0.1%
Manifold Markets
Monster Raving Loony Party
0.1%

Selected outcome

Reform UK92%

Rules

If an independent candidate does, resolves other.

Manifold Markets
  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Makerfield_by-election

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Rules

If an independent candidate does, resolves other.

Manifold Markets
  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Makerfield_by-election