Which phone released before 2026 will have the highest sales in its first 30 days?
One-OffTechBusiness & Corporate3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastApple iPhone 18 Pro 38.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
1: If phone is not released before 2026: resolves to NO
- 2: If phone is released before 2026 and loses to the others: resolves NO
- 3: If phone is released before 2026 and beats the others: resolves YES
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- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
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- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
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+3 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which phone released before 2026 will have the highest sales in its first 30 days??
- Manifold Markets prices Apple iPhone 18 Pro at 38% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which phone released before 2026 will have the highest sales in its first 30 days? resolve?
- Which phone released before 2026 will have the highest sales in its first 30 days? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which phone released before 2026 will have the highest sales in its first 30 days? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 1: If phone is not released before 2026: resolves to NO