Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleDec 13, 25, 3:45 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketElon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if, any time before the end of 2026, someone links a webpage under polyoptions.com (or whatever other URL that project uses or moves to), where I can see a chart which displays dates/time on one axis and expected volatility for a polymarket market on that date.
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-3.0pt60.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+3.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $654.7K
- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
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- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
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- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Visualization of high-volatility days on Polyoptions by EoY 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Visualization of high-volatility days on Polyoptions by EoY 2026 resolve?
- Visualization of high-volatility days on Polyoptions by EoY 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Visualization of high-volatility days on Polyoptions by EoY 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, any time before the end of 2026, someone links a webpage under polyoptions.com (or whatever other URL that project uses or moves to), where I can see a chart which displays dates/time on one axis and expected volatility for a polymarket market on that date.