Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLatvia 55.3%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 11, 25, 7:38 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The European Space Agency (ESA) is an international organisation dedicated to space exploration.
- It currently has 23 full members, with the most recent country to join being Slovenia, which ratified the ESA Convention on 1 January 2025.
- Options on this market will resolve YES if that country becomes a full member of the ESA (not just an associate member) by ratifying the ESA Convention on or before 31 December 2030.
- It doesn't matter if the country later leaves the ESA.
