This market resolved: Anthropic (99%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 12:05 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Anthropic
- Recorded
- Jul 25, 2026, 8:31 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current community forecastAnthropic 99%+10.2ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
39
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleFeb 4, 26, 7:21 PMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Google4.5%
OpenAI6.3%
xAI0.6%
Anthropic99%
Meta0.5%
Alibaba0.2%
DeepSeek0.3%
Other0.2%
99%
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Anthropic
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of June?
0.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Anthropic (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+16 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$22.3M
24h Vol$6.4K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Polymarket
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
0.1 ptsClosed
Resolved
Anthropic (100%)
+77.0pt100%
-0.6pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$6.3K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg