KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- KXFRONTIER-FRON-26JUL01:no
- Recorded
- Jul 27, 2026, 9:26 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityBefore September 99%+66.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.9K
Liquidity
$44.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJun 29, 26, 7:00 PMSep 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Before November99%
Before December99%
Before July2%
Before August99%
Before September99%
Before October99%
Before 202799%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$16.9kJul 226d of dataJul 27
Related Markets
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
$1.8KBefore September: 34%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$67.9K↑$1.1T: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
$13.6K1510: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
$7.7K$2.60-$2.90: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
$7KBy Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will AMD say during their next earnings call?
$1.6KInference / Inferencing: 78%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto NewsRules
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.
- If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.