Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Tesla 64.7%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+10.2 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleDec 1, 23, 12:09 AM UTCJan 1, 36, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Elon doesn’t need to willingly step down for this to resolve, he merely needs to longer be CEO; he could have quit, died, been pushed out…etc.
