Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Before August 1st (100%)
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, 1:47 PM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecastBefore August 1st 100%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
72
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 days ago
StaleJun 13, 26, 2:24 AMJul 5, 26, 1:47 PM
Probability Timeline
Before June 1311.5%
Before June 141%
Before June 150.9%
Before June 210%
Before July 10%
Before August 1st100%
Before June 181.7%
Before June 230%
Before June 250%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Before August 1st
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?
6.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Before Jul 3, 2026 (99%)
+74.0pt99%
+37.0pt99%
+59.0pt99%
+7 more outcomes
35 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$612.7K
KALSHI
Also available on Polymarket
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by which date?
72.5 ptsClosed
+72.5pt100%
+11.7pt100%
+4.8pt100%
+16 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$5.4M
24h Vol$358K
POLYMARKETRules
Counts US-only access
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.6k99.2%POLYMARKETYeslibratus128d ago
POLYMARKETYeslibratus128d ago$1.0k9.9%POLYMARKETNoparacels28d ago
POLYMARKETNoparacels28d ago$3.2k99.0%POLYMARKETYes0xc9da…5f4228d ago
POLYMARKETYes0xc9da…5f4228d ago$2.1k78.4%POLYMARKETNoHornyBibi28d ago
POLYMARKETNoHornyBibi28d ago$1.1k78.9%POLYMARKETYesGGWPGL28d ago
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Counts US-only access