KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Before Jul 3, 2026 (99%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 2:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Before Jul 3, 2026
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
26%
SurpriseCurrent implied probabilityBefore Jul 3, 2026 99%+74.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$612.7K
Liquidity
$6.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleJun 13, 26, 2:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Before Jul 17, 202676%
Before Jul 1, 20262%
Before Jul 3, 202699%
Before Jul 7, 202699%
Before Jul 10, 202699%
Before Jun 15, 20262%
1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Rules
If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers after Issuance and before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.