Current implied probability
Miami 50.8%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 12:46 PMJul 29, 26, 4:40 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Miami51%
Compare venues· Miami
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall84% match · auto | High | 52% | 0pt | $126.1K | $101.9K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
 GeminiThis page | Low | 51% | -1pt | $30 | $0 | 18 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Philadelphia vs Miami
3.0 pts3d
+3.0pt51%
-3.0pt49%
85 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$138.6K
24h Vol$126.1K
KALSHIRules
Philadelphia vs Miami
- If Miami wins the MLB regular season game between Miami and Philadelphia, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.9k50.0%KALSHIPhiladelphia — Yes5h ago
KALSHIPhiladelphia — Yes5h ago$2.5k51.0%KALSHIPhiladelphia — Yes12h ago
KALSHIPhiladelphia — Yes12h agoVolume trend
$30Jul 272d of dataJul 28
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KALSHI
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Philadelphia vs Miami
- If Miami wins the MLB regular season game between Miami and Philadelphia, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.