Current implied probability
Cleveland 54%
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 12:44 PMJul 29, 26, 5:10 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Cleveland54%
Compare venues· Cleveland
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GeminiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 54% | +4pt | $1.6K | $0 | 15 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Low | 50% | 0pt | $135.6 | $127.3 | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Cleveland vs Cincinnati
4d
52.1%
47.9%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$135.6
24h Vol$135.6
KALSHIRules
Cleveland vs Cincinnati
- If Cleveland wins the MLB regular season game between Cleveland and Cincinnati, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.6kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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Cleveland vs Cincinnati
- If Cleveland wins the MLB regular season game between Cleveland and Cincinnati, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.