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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. What will One Nation's support be on the 1st of July 2026?
Manifold Markets

What will One Nation's support be on the 1st of July 2026?

One-OffPoliticsElectionEurope20d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Above 35% 7.8%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters

3

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale
Jan 30, 26, 9:36 AMJul 1, 26, 9:36 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 35%8%

Rules

The answer will be adjudicated according to any poll published, for example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Australian_federal_election

Manifold Markets
  • I will consider the average of all polls in the 2 weeks up to and including the 30th of June 2026, and that average will be the result of this market.

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Rules

The answer will be adjudicated according to any poll published, for example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Australian_federal_election

Manifold Markets
  • I will consider the average of all polls in the 2 weeks up to and including the 30th of June 2026, and that average will be the result of this market.