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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
Manifold Markets

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East30d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
June 12 1%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters

2

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 13, 26, 12:26 AMJul 13, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

June 121%

Rules

This market will resolve identically with this Polymarket market:

Manifold Markets
  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
  • Polymarket rules:
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$64,081.15+1.39%EthereumETH$1,677.23+1.23%SolanaSOL$67.92+1.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.0881+1.44%XRPXRP$1.15+1.85%BNBBNB$608.58+0.56%

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Rules

This market will resolve identically with this Polymarket market:

Manifold Markets
  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
  • Polymarket rules:
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.