Think Media! Not quite 3.5 Million YouTube followers. Will they reach 5 Million or more by end of 2028? (They teach.)
YearlySociety & Culture2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.8%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 51 minutes ago
LaggingMay 30, 26, 1:26 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?
KalshiHow many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year?
KalshiWill Javadoodles reach 1M followers on instagram by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the official Think Media YouTube channel reaches 5.0M (5,000,000) subscribers or more at any point on or before December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO.
- Rules and fallback sources:
- Primary Source: The subscriber count displayed on the official YouTube channel page (@ThinkMediaTV).
- Since public YouTube subscriber counts are abbreviated (e.g., displaying "5.0M" or "5.00M"), a public display of "5.0M" or higher is sufficient to resolve the market to YES.