KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 450,000 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
At least 450,000 99.5%Market line of 4 lines
At least 450,000 99.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$13.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 450,000Spread
—
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Feb 21, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 450,000
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Think Media! Not quite 3.5 Million YouTube followers. Will they reach 5 Million or more by end of 2028? (They teach.)
Manifold MarketsWill Javadoodles reach 1M followers on instagram by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsClayface · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
PolymarketKlara and the Sun · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
If clavicular has At least 450000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:clavicular
- The follower count is determined by the publicly displayed count on the account's profile page. If the platform displays abbreviated numbers (e.g., "1.2M"), the most precise available count will be used. The count is assessed at 11:59 PM ET before the target date. If the account is permanently suspended or deleted, the market resolves to last fair price. If the account becomes private and follower counts are invisible, the market resolves to No. Temporary suspensions that are lifted before the target date do not affect resolution if follower counts become visible again.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 450,000
- If clavicular has At least 450000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 500,000
- If clavicular has At least 500000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 550,000
- If clavicular has at least 550000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 600,000
- If clavicular has at least 600000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.