KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 500,000 99%+18.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$8.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 21, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If clavicular has At least 400000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:clavicular
- The follower count is determined by the publicly displayed count on the account's profile page.
- If the platform displays abbreviated numbers (e.g., "1.2M"), the most precise available count will be used.
- The count is assessed at 11:59 PM ET before the target date.
- If the account is permanently suspended or deleted, the market resolves to last fair price.
- If the account becomes private and follower counts are invisible, the market resolves to No. Temporary suspensions that are lifted before the target date do not affect resolution if follower counts become visible again.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $344.8K
- 24h Vol
- $102.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.8pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+6.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.8pt63%
- 80-90M+3.0pt35%
- 60-70M-4.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.9M
- 24h Vol
- $32.7K
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year??
- Kalshi prices At least 500,000 at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? resolve?
- How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If clavicular has At least 400000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.