Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 6.2%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 1:32 AMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · auto | High | 85% | — | $601K | $370.8K | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 94% | — | — | — | 11 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
3.0%1mo
-0.0%85%
+0.0%16%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.7M
24h Vol$601K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — NoV1nch0u9h ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — NoV1nch0u9h ago$2.1k85.0%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — NoMwhale13h ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — NoMwhale13h ago$2.5k84.7%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Noasawq14h ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Noasawq14h ago$1.3k89.0%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — NoStarMaster2d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — NoStarMaster2d ago$1.8k88.0%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Nosimtrades3d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Nosimtrades3d ago$1.5k85.0%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — NoWalkStreetIn3d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — NoWalkStreetIn3d ago$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Noback-in-whack5d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Noback-in-whack5d ago$12.0k89.0%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Noskibabiba12d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? — Noskibabiba12d agoVolume trend
$127Jul 814d of dataJul 26
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.