This market resolved: No change (80.3%)
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, 5:23 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- No change
- Recorded
- Jul 25, 2026, 12:25 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current community forecastNo change 80.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 43 days ago
StaleMay 16, 26, 5:44 AMJun 16, 26, 4:25 AM
Probability Timeline
Increase17.3%
No change80.3%
Decrease2.4%
17.3%
80.3%
2.4%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No change
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall97% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $5.6K | $0 | 42 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 80% | — | — | — | 43 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
0.7 ptsClosed
Resolved
No Change (100%)
+0.9pt100%
-0.1pt0%
-0.7pt0%
26 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$70.8K
24h Vol$5.6K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official interest rate decision announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board following its meeting scheduled for June 15–16, 2026.
- Increase: Resolves YES if the RBA announces an increase to the official cash rate target.
- No change: Resolves YES if the RBA announces that the official cash rate target will be maintained at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves YES if the RBA announces a decrease to the official cash rate target.
- The official decision is typically released via a media release on the RBA website at 2:30 pm AEST on the final day of the meeting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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KALSHI
KALSHIHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1000 (0 bps): 85.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
$100Yes: 15.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official interest rate decision announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board following its meeting scheduled for June 15–16, 2026.
- Increase: Resolves YES if the RBA announces an increase to the official cash rate target.
- No change: Resolves YES if the RBA announces that the official cash rate target will be maintained at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves YES if the RBA announces a decrease to the official cash rate target.
- The official decision is typically released via a media release on the RBA website at 2:30 pm AEST on the final day of the meeting.