Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 64.4%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMay 26, 26, 9:41 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
Manifold MarketsToronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
KalshiThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
KalshiWho will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
PolymarketMTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
KalshiWho will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
GeminiRules
See here for a history: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People_(magazine)#Sexiest_Man_Alive
- Resolves YES to who Peoples Magazine declares the Sexiest Man Alive in 2026
- If multiple winners, will resolve as a percentage.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026 · Noah Wyle 53%
- Also available on Polymarket — People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026 · Bad Bunny 24%
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+2.0pt52%
- The Black Ball16%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt11%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.3M
- 24h Vol
- $206.1K
KALSHIResident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 9399%
- Above 9099%
- Above 4599%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $933.3K
- 24h Vol
- $190.2K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
- 30–35M+74.1pt100%
- <20M-9.5pt0%
- 20–25M-18.4pt0%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Week 11 elimination
- Melody Morris+39.0pt91%
- Taylor Brown21%
- Dee Valladares+1.0pt13%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIDigger · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-9.0pt83%
- Above 50-17.0pt72%
- Above 55-14.0pt67%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $330.3K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Rick Devens+1.0pt36.6%
- Dee Valladares-4.0pt26.8%
- Drew Campbell+4.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Wildwood · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Sense and Sensibility · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
- Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score
- New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Toronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for People’s Magazine 2026 Sexiest Man Alive??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 64% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does People’s Magazine 2026 Sexiest Man Alive? resolve?
- People’s Magazine 2026 Sexiest Man Alive? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is People’s Magazine 2026 Sexiest Man Alive? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: See here for a history: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People_(magazine)#Sexiest_Man_Alive
- Where else is People’s Magazine 2026 Sexiest Man Alive? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Polymarket.