Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 8, 2026, 11:59 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecast
Labour 32%+2.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleJan 17, 26, 1:34 PMAug 15, 29, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Labour32%
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The largest party by number of MPs after the next General Election will receive 40% at resolution.
- Second will receive 30%, third 20% and fourth 10%.
- All others will resolve NO.
- I will add additional parties if I deem it necessary.