Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 70.9%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingJan 17, 26, 9:09 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Rules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Jamie Dimon makes a public statement, speech, interview, or written commentary that directly addresses prediction markets (including their regulation, growth, impact, or use) at any point during 2026.
- The statement must be documented in a credible news source, official JPMorgan communication, or recorded public appearance.
- Passing mentions or indirect references do not count—the statement must substantively discuss prediction markets as a topic.
- Prediction markets like Kalshi have gained prominence in financial discourse, with major events like Federal Reserve chair succession being actively traded.
- As CEO of America's largest bank and a prominent voice on financial regulation and market structure, Dimon's views on prediction markets could carry significant weight in policy discussions.
