Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.7%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 16, 25, 2:56 PM UTCDec 31, 49, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Posts alleging Elon Musk has been posting on 4chan's /pol/ with the tripcode "SATANZ0Gpo" have been all around reddit recently.
- Resolves based on reliable, beyond reasonable doubt, proof.
- Will not resolve based on hearsay or Musk's admission, unless said admission is legally binding.
- Reddit thread breaking the allegiations:
- https://archive.is/2025.04.15-161009/https://old.reddit.com/r/LeaksAndRumors/comments/1jzqr8c/elon_musks_alleged_unverified_4chan_account/
- Link to the post history of the tripcode: https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/search/tripcode/SATANZ0Gpo/order/asc
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Is the 4chan tripcode "SATANZ0Gpo" Elon Musk??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Is the 4chan tripcode "SATANZ0Gpo" Elon Musk? resolve?
- Is the 4chan tripcode "SATANZ0Gpo" Elon Musk? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2049.
- How is Is the 4chan tripcode "SATANZ0Gpo" Elon Musk? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Posts alleging Elon Musk has been posting on 4chan's /pol/ with the tripcode "SATANZ0Gpo" have been all around reddit recently.