Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

$167.6

5.4: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?

$10.6

John Fetterman: 15%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")

$0

~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026: 15%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

$2.9K

December 31, 2027: 67%

POLYMARKET

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$830.3

$500M: 76%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of July?

$157K

Anthropic: 84%

POLYMARKET

Is GPT-4.5 the base model for o3?