Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 4, 2026, 7:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 50.5%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 52 days ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 11:57 AMDec 31, 26, 12:56 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes51%
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Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.