Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJun 18, 23, 4:39 AM UTCJun 18, 99, 4:38 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who is Banksy?
Manifold MarketsWill the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman?
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PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRules
Resolves yes if Banksy's identity is conclusively revealed and they are a woman.
- No if identity is revealed and they aren't a woman.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt44.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt29.7%
- <40-7.0pt13.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5K
- 24h Vol
- $29.4K
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane89%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Renoir84%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $7.9K
- 24h Vol
- $6.7K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $21.1K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.3K
- 24h Vol
- $287.1
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Is Banksy a woman??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Is Banksy a woman? resolve?
- Is Banksy a woman? is scheduled to resolve on June 18, 2099.
- How is Is Banksy a woman? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Banksy's identity is conclusively revealed and they are a woman.