Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastPrinceton Puzzle Hunt 95%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 27, 26, 8:53 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolves to 100% if I get 1st in a hunt, 0% if I am not in the top 20.
- Otherwise, 5*(21-place)%.
- I'll add hunts throughout the year as they are announced if I intend to participate in them.
- N/A if a hunt added doesn't run for some reason, or makes it impossible to determine a ranking.
- (Even if there aren't leaderboards, I'll try to find a ranking if, say, there are per-puzzle stats for the endgame puzzle.)
- [Added Feb 20:] Also N/A if I end up not doing a hunt due to some unforeseen event (e.g. some higher priority thing happens)
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-3.0pt60.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+3.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $654.7K
- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
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- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
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- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description)?
- Manifold Markets prices Princeton Puzzle Hunt at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description) resolve?
- How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description) is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to 100% if I get 1st in a hunt, 0% if I am not in the top 20.