Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 8:44 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
3000 or more 100%Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+10.8 pts
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJan 5, 26, 1:34 PM UTCJan 5, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Per https://planet4589.org/space/stats/out/satannual.txt when updated past year end
- Last few years at time of market creation: 2018 568
- If this source is unavailable or out of date I might switch to UNOOSA which has fairly similar numbers but usually takes longer to update. https://www.unoosa.org/oosa/osoindex/search-ng.jspx?lf_id=
