How many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description)
7.6 pts (24h)MonthlySociety & Culture26dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAbove 200 94.4%+7.6ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+44.4 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 6:40 AMSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
for a 10 mana bonus, make any trade on all five options and ping me in comments, i’ll send the bonus once i see it :) (only applicable for unique human traders)
- This market resolves based on the total number of hours I study during September 2026, from 1 September 2026 to 30 September 2026 inclusive.
- Study time will be measured using my YPT (Yeolpumta) study tracker.
- The final recorded total at the end of September will determine the resolution.
- I will provide updates on my recorded study time anywhere from daily to at least once a week throughout the market period.
- At the end of the month, before resolving the market, I will upload a screenshot showing the total monthly study time, the relevant data, and a daily breakdown.
Open markets
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+2.0pt19.1%
- 220-239+7.0pt18.1%
- 180-199-7.0pt15.2%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $561K
- 24h Vol
- $202K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?
- 65-89+17.0pt43.3%
- 40-64-14.5pt33.6%
- 90-114+7.5pt13.5%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Total Vol
- $10.6K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
KALSHIWhen will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?
- Before Jul 1, 202756%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-23.0pt23%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt10%
- Total Vol
- $9K
KALSHIHawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- Above 9.6 million91%
- Above 9.8 million52%
- Above 10.0 million12%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5K
- 24h Vol
- $704
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 5 - September 7, 2026?
- 40-6440.2%
- 65-8920.5%
- <4017.2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $633.8
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Indiana lions in custody by which date?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description)?
- Manifold Markets prices Above 200 at 94% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does How many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description) resolve?
- How many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description) is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is How many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: for a 10 mana bonus, make any trade on all five options and ping me in comments, i’ll send the bonus once i see it :) (only applicable for unique human traders)